The Swine Flu stuff seems rather scary. According to reports, it’s killed quite a few people between the ages of 25 and 45 – which is pretty unusual for the flu, though it’s the pattern we saw in the 1918 flu epidemic. And the ratio of known flu-cases (2,000+ in Mexico) to mortality (149 dead in Mexico) would put it at somewhere around 7% mortality rate. Of course, that would assume that we have a decent count of actual cases – and I have doubts about that. If the actual number of cases is 10x higher in Mexico than we think it is, the mortality rate would only be 0.7%. Although, strangely, not a single death in the US yet, which suggests a much lower mortality rate. For comparison, the 1918 flu, which killed 20 million people (more than the number of people who died in World War 1) only had a mortality rate of 2.5% and a very high infection rate (affecting 800 million to 1 billion people), which is also unusually high for the flu. It’s doubtful this new strain is like the 1918 flu epidemic in those details.
Personally, I don’t think it’s going to be all that bad in the developed world. I expect to see more deaths in the third world, though (sigh, seems like they always end up on the bad side of things).
Anyway, it’s definitely brought out the crazy in people. Sometimes it seems like people are on-edge, just waiting for the world to end. Take a look:
“Clues that the virus may be a synthetic creation are already manifesting
It certainly wouldn’t be the first time that deadly flu viruses have been concocted in labs and then dispatched with the intention of creating a pandemic.”